As I tried to extend my coronavirus understanding and modeling – I realized a key component to future modeling was missing!

• The expected future behavior to base the model on
  • Yes, we’re that far out of the box on this topic

Thankfully, there are many people working on this topic including the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) released “Coronavirus Response; A Road Map to Reopening” on 3/28/2020. People who know way more than myself discuss their ideas in a serious way.

Four phase plan – which will take considerable time with focus on saving the most lives.

Phase I: Slow the Spread – what we are doing, with a lot more testing

Phase II: State-by-State Reopening – with massive testing and contact tracing

Phase III: Establish Immune Protection and Lift Physical Distancing

Phase IV: Rebuild Our Readiness for the Next Pandemic